Welcome to The Brain vs. The Heart. Everyone has that internal battle with themselves about which fighter you think will win vs. which fighter you actually want to win. The Brain vs The Heart takes you on a journey inside the mind (and heart) of IAMMA to tackle the battle head-on. Who will win? Let’s find out!
Shane Campbell (+130) vs. James Krause (-150)
The Brain: The six fight main card kicks off with a lightweight bout. Both fighters are primarily strikers that have a heavy volume approach. Krause and Campbell also tend to leave themselves open to being hit. The odds for this fight are pretty tight and I think it’s definitely accurate for this fight. I think this will be a close fight, but I think Krause has more ways to win. Campbell will definitely be game though. Krause by Decision
The Heart: I’m not overly partial to either guy, which makes this a fairly difficult pick. Krause has had six fights in the UFC, which Campbell has only had two. Both fighters are .500 in the UFC so far. In which case, I think Campbell probably needs a win a little more than Krause so I’ll go with him. Campbell by Decision
Chris Camozzi (-265) vs. Joe Riggs (+225)
The Brain: In his last fight Riggs returned to middleweight and picked up his first win since his return to the UFC. However, he won after Stalling was DQ’d for an illegal upkick that left Riggs unable to see. Riggs is solid everywhere, but he hasn’t had much luck since his UFC return. Camozzi will have a 6” reach advantage in this fight. He is a striker and definitely prefers to keep the fight standing. He also does a good job of utilizing leg kicks. I think Camozzi outworks Riggs on the feet and takes a comfortable decision. Camozzi by Decision
The Heart: I like both of these guys and they both need a win here pretty bad. Riggs and Camozzi both recently returned to the UFC. Riggs is 1-2 since his return and Camozzi is 1-1. I think Riggs has had a string of bad luck since his return and I hope he can get back on track with a win here. I also hope that they don’t cut Camozzi if he loses. Riggs by Decision
Dennis Bermudez (-340) vs. Tatsuya Kawajiri (+280)
The Brain: Bermudez has lost a little steam after dropping two in a row. On the other hand, Kawajiri has won two in a row. Bermudez is a wrestler with solid striking power. Kawajiri is a wrestler that isn’t afraid to grind down his opponents and smother them. I actually think Bermudez’s wrestling is much better and I expect Kawajiri to have a hard time implementing his game. On the feet, I expect Bermudez to have the clear edge. I see Bermudez winning this fight 30-27. Bermudez by Decision
The Heart: I don’t mind Kawajiri, but his fights can be a little bland. Bermudez also likes to use his wrestling, but he always stays very active. Kawajiri’s career is winding down, but Bermudez still has quite a bit left in the tank. Prior to his two fight skid, Bermudez had won seven in a row, including wins over Guida and Holloway. I’d like to see him win here and go on another run. Bermudez by Decision
Cody Garbrandt (-340) vs. Augusto Mendes (+280)
The Brain: Augusto Mendes steps in for the injured Lineker to face bantamweight prospect Cody Garbrandt. Mendes will be making his UFC debut as an injury delayed his planned debut last month. For this not familiar with Mendes, I definitely encourage you to check him out. He is a jiu-jitsu world champion and is 5-0 in MMA. Garbrandt is a quick and powerful striker. He also has solid wrestling, which is good, because Mendes poses a serious threat to Garbrandt on the ground. I think Mendes has a serious future in MMA, but I think he’ll have a tough time in his debut. Garbrandt should be much more technical on the feet and I think his wrestling will be good enough to keep it on the feet. I think Garbrandt stops Mendes with strikes in the second round. Garbrandt by TKO
The Heart: I definitely respect Mendes for stepping in on such short notice against such a dangerous opponent. I like everything I’ve seen from Garbrandt so far. I see him being a top fighter for a long time. However, I actually think a loss here will do him a lot of good. I think he can lose and come back with an even more well-rounded game which will help sustain his success in the future. I’ll take Mendes here to win his debut in exciting fashion. Mendes by Submission
Derek Brunson (-400) vs. Roan Carneiro (+325)
The Brain: Carneiro is on a six fight win streak with four of his last six wins coming by submission. Brunson is on a three fight win streak with two TKOs in a row. Carneiro is dangerous on the ground and is a solid wrestler. In fact, neither Carneiro nor Brunson have been taken down in the UFC. Brunson is a former Division II All-American wrestler and I think his wrestling will be better than Carneiro’s wrestling. On the feet Brunson should have the clear advantage. He is a pretty heavy favorite and I expect him to win this fight, but I think Carneiro has a better chance than the odds indicate. I think Brunson is able to connect with Carneiro and end this fight in the first round. Brunson by TKO
The Heart: Carneiro had mixed results in his first UFC stint, but was able to submit Mark Munoz in his return to the Octagon. He’ll look to build on his momentum, but he has a tough task ahead in Brunson. Brunson has looked exceptional in his last couple fights and I want to see him pick up an emphatic win here. Brunson by TKO
Donald Cerrone (-300) vs. Alex Oliveira (+250)
The Brain: Oliveira steps in on two weeks’ notice to replace the injured Tim Means, which sets up a battle of the “Cowboys” in the main event. Oliveira is actually a former bull rider, but Cerrone owns the BMF Ranch. This will be a welterweight fight since Cerrone’s decision to move up after the dos Anjos loss. Oliveira normally fights at lightweight. As far as I know this will still be a five round fight, which should definitely help Cerrone’s chances. Even on short notice Oliveira is a dangerous opponent. He has some decent power in his hands and is competent on the ground as well. Cerrone has some extremely dangerous kicks and likely to throw a lot of volume as well. I think Cerrone will be able to outwork Oliveira and find his way to the back for the submission win. Cerrone by Submission
The Heart: I really like what I’ve seen from Oliveira so far. He’s taken several short notice fights in the UFC and he’s still managed to look good. Unfortunately for him, he’s facing one of my favorite fighters. Cerrone is fun to watch inside the cage and likes to live life on the dangerous side outside of it. I’ll be rooting for him Sunday. Cerrone by Submission
The Heart is now in the lead through four events with a 12-7 record. The Brain trails by two with a 10-9 record.
Any questions or comments? Hit me up on Twitter @IAMMAEverlast or comment below.